

This market resolves to Yes if the United States or Israel conducts a confirmed military strike on Iranian territory before 11:59 PM UTC on the final day of this month. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution is based on consensus from credible international reporting sources.
$875.1m volume
$1324.4m volume
$147.2m volume
$5297.1m volume
$34.4m volume
$163.5m volume
$401.8m volume
$137.1m volume
$5.9m volume
$38.4m volume
$568.2m volume
$45.7m volume
$545.2m volume
$16.0m volume
$3.3m volume
$39.0m volume
$562.1m volume
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